Friday, September 30 2016 19:45 EEST
MH17 investigation and war in Syria: What consequences could Russia face?
MH17, investigation,  war in Syria, Russia,  United States, Aleppo, Deir ez-Zor, JIT

US-Russian deal on Syria to stop the bloodshedding in the war and to establish the steady cease-fire is under threat again after recent events, namely: striking UN aid convoy and mass killing of Syrian soldiers in coalition strikes near Deir ez-Zor. These two events may result in continuation of military actions and growth of the violence in the region, disrupting all efforts undertaken by U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and his Russian counterpart, Sergei Lavrov to find conflict resolution.

Airstrikes of Aleppo by Syrian and Russian planes and attack on an aid convoy are main reasons, why the U.S. is ready to block all cooperation with the Kremlin on Syria. A

In addition recent investigation in Netherlands, carried out by JIT, stated  it was a Russian missile system that illegally  crossed Ukrainian border, provided separatist with weapon that shot down a Malaysia Airlines flight in 2014 and killed all 298 people aboard.

Potential short-term and long-term consequences for Russia are viewed by Radio Free Europe.

1. impossibility to form a common alliance with the United States on terrorism in Syria in light of recent airstrikes taking place in Aleppo.

Early Barack Obama and Angela Merkel in the phone call named Russian military actions in Aleppo "barbarous".

2. inevitable pressure on Moscow to fulfill its obligations under the Minsk accord -- the February 2015 deal to end the war between Kyiv's forces and Russia-backed separatists in eastern Ukraine. The United States and EU say they steer clear of quid-pro-quo arrangements.

3. Evidence of Russian involvement in the MH17 tragedy, presented by JIT investigation in Netherlands, may be a formal reason to start war-crimes investigation and to establish international tribunal in order to punish the guilty despite countless obstackles and Russian attempts to block the creation of an international tribunal.

4. Air strikes on Aleppo including bombing of two big hospitals could also be regarded as war crimes. Amid calls for a probe into the attack on an aid convoy in Syria, Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova demanded "an unbiased investigation" of recent U.S. air strikes that she said killed civilians in Afghanistan.

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